Is the Global Financial System Still Safe? Many Say No
By Peter J. Merrick, TEP® and Adrian C. Spitters, CFP®, co-authors of the international bestseller It Starts With Gold™ and the forthcoming book Guns, Gold & Land™
This analysis continues a series of long-form investigations published in The Merrick Spitters Reset Report™
This article explores mounting concerns about the stability of modern banking, bail-in laws, and the rise of digital currencies. It is presented as an opinion and is intended to inform and invite dialogue.
We May Already Be in the Red Zone
The financial headlines of recent years, from surprise bank failures to aggressive monetary interventions, have prompted deeper questions about the structural integrity of our banking system. This article explores a broad but vital question: Is the global financial system still as safe as the public has been led to believe?
Contrary to the appearance of calm, a closer look at the official policy changes, regulatory updates, and monetary experiments underway suggests rising systemic vulnerability. A growing number of experts warn that under stress, bank customers could face unexpected outcomes such as delayed withdrawals, asset conversions, or even loss of access, based not on the failure of individual institutions but because of built-in legal frameworks that prioritize system preservation over depositor expectations.
The aim of this article is not to incite panic or offer investment advice. Rather, it is to lay out a clear, sourced summary of key developments that merit serious attention. Readers can judge for themselves whether the financial world is entering a new chapter, one where protecting personal wealth may require different thinking than it has in the past.
Fractional Reserve Banking: Understanding the Foundations of Today’s Risk
At the core of modern banking lies a principle few depositors fully understand: fractional reserve lending. This system allows banks to hold only a fraction of customer deposits in reserve, while lending or investing the remainder. For decades, reserve ratios in North America ranged from 3 percent to 10 percent, depending on the size of the institution. In other words, banks could lend out 90 to 97 percent of the money deposited by their customers.
This model works so long as depositors do not all demand their money at once. It assumes stability and confidence. However, in times of crisis or contagion, this design becomes fragile. A sudden wave of withdrawals, a bank run, can expose the fact that depositors’ money is not sitting in a vault but instead tied up in loans or securities that may have lost value or be illiquid.
In March 2020, at the height of pandemic-driven financial volatility, the U.S. Federal Reserve eliminated reserve requirements entirely. As of March 26, 2020, all reserve requirements for depository institutions were reduced to zero percent. That means banks are no longer obligated to hold any customer deposits in reserve. This policy remains in place today.
While this change received little public attention, it significantly increases the risk that in the event of a liquidity crunch, banks would be unable to meet withdrawal demands without emergency borrowing or asset liquidation.
Deposit Insurance Funds: Helpful but Limited in Scope
In the United States, depositors take comfort in the FDIC insurance limit of 250,000 dollars per account. In Canada, the equivalent protection is 100,000 Canadian dollars per insured category per institution. But how much protection is actually available if a major systemic event occurs?
As of late 2024, the U.S. Deposit Insurance Fund contained approximately 129 billion dollars, covering an estimated 17.2 trillion dollars in insured deposits. This equates to roughly 1.2 percent of covered deposits. In a systemic crisis involving multiple mid- or large-sized bank failures, the FDIC would quickly exhaust its fund.
While government backstops and emergency lending facilities are available, they often rely on further monetary expansion, potentially weakening the currency or sparking inflation. The guarantees of depositor safety are therefore subject to fiscal and political constraints, not merely legal promises.
This challenge is not theoretical. In 2023, the U.S. Treasury, Federal Reserve, and FDIC jointly stepped in to guarantee deposits above the legal limit during the failure of Silicon Valley Bank and others. But such guarantees are discretionary, not automatic. In other words, future decisions could differ.
Notably, a leaked FDIC advisory committee meeting from November 2022 revealed that regulators discussed the difficulty of managing public messaging if systemic bail-ins became necessary. Officials acknowledged that informing the public about the limitations of coverage could trigger unwanted panic, suggesting a communications dilemma in the event of future instability.
How Banks Are Repositioning and Why It May Not Benefit You
As interest rates rose in 2022 through 2024, banks shifted large portions of their assets into central bank reserve accounts, earning interest from the Federal Reserve. These funds are essentially parked, not lent into the economy. According to the American Bankers Association, the Fed paid over 176 billion dollars in interest to banks in 2024 alone for these holdings.
This practice has attracted criticism. Research economist Dr. Peter St. Onge has noted that in recent years, a majority of bank profits have come from this passive interest income rather than traditional lending activities. This distorts incentives and can disconnect banks from the economic realities of the communities they serve.
At the same time, banks have under-delivered on deposit yields. Despite higher interest rates on the Fed’s end, depositors continue to receive near-zero returns on their savings accounts. A Financial Times report, amplified by St. Onge, estimated that U.S. savers effectively lost 1.1 trillion dollars in potential interest income due to this gap between what banks earn and what they pay out.
In short, banks are becoming more reliant on risk-free returns from central banks while reducing value delivered to their own customers, an inversion of the traditional banking model.
Bail-Ins: From Crisis Solution to Standing Policy
Following the 2008 financial crisis, global policymakers committed to never again use taxpayer bailouts to rescue failing banks. The solution was the bail-in, a financial resolution mechanism that places losses on a failing bank’s shareholders, bondholders, and unsecured creditors, which can include large depositors.
In the United States, the Dodd–Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act of 2010 codified this shift. Under the Orderly Liquidation Authority, regulators may restructure a failing financial institution by writing down unsecured liabilities, including deposit balances above the insured limit.
This principle has been adopted globally.
Canada’s 2016 bail-in framework grants the Canada Deposit Insurance Corporation authority to convert certain liabilities into equity to recapitalize a bank in crisis. The Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions oversees this regime. While officials have indicated that ordinary deposit accounts are unlikely to be affected, the legislation provides wide latitude.
In the European Union, the Bank Recovery and Resolution Directive mandates that large deposits above 100,000 euros may be subject to conversion or write-down in the event of institutional failure. These measures are designed to protect systemic stability, not necessarily individual account holders.
Legal analyses from global law firms confirm that under bail-in regimes, customer deposits are classified as unsecured debt and are therefore at risk in a liquidation or recapitalization scenario. There is no legal obligation to restore those balances if they are used to stabilize a bank.
The 2013 financial crisis in Cyprus demonstrated how this works in practice. Depositors holding more than 100,000 euros at two major banks saw portions of their balances converted into equity, which subsequently lost value.
Digital Currencies: Control Versus Convenience
Parallel to these structural risks is the rapid development of Central Bank Digital Currencies, government-issued digital cash designed to operate alongside or replace physical money.
The benefits of CBDCs, according to their proponents, include faster transactions, reduced fraud, and improved traceability. However, critics warn that this traceability could come at the cost of financial privacy and freedom.
The Cato Institute has described a potential U.S. CBDC as the final nail in the coffin for financial privacy. An IMF working paper admitted that CBDCs pose serious risks to individual privacy without robust legislative protections. These concerns are not hypothetical.
CBDCs could be programmable, allowing authorities to limit spending by category, location, or timeframe. They could expire if not spent, incentivizing behaviour or consumption. During protests or emergency orders, specific accounts or wallets could be frozen without due process of law. In a crisis, negative interest rates could be applied to force consumer spending.
These powers are not intrinsic to all CBDCs, but they are technically possible, and several nations have openly explored these functions. The growing convergence of banking infrastructure, regulatory authority, and centralized digital money raises the prospect of unprecedented control over individuals’ financial lives.
Recent events, such as the 2022 freezing of bank accounts tied to the Canadian truckers’ protest, have amplified public concerns about how digital tools may be used in politically charged situations.
Gold: An Alternative That Requires No Permission
Against this backdrop, gold has emerged once again as a symbol of financial independence and resilience. It carries no counterparty risk, cannot be printed, debased, or digitally frozen, and is accepted globally.
Historical performance supports this reputation. During the 1970s, stagflation, gold preserved purchasing power while fiat currencies declined. During the 2008 crisis, gold served as a hedge while equities collapsed.
Central banks themselves appear to acknowledge gold’s strategic value. According to the World Gold Council, central banks bought over 1,082 metric tons of gold in 2022, followed by 1,037 tons in 2023, the largest purchases in modern history. These institutions are clearly preparing for volatility in the monetary system.
Gold is not a panacea. But as argued in It Starts With Gold, it can serve as a foundational layer in a broader strategy that includes real assets, diversified holdings, and a more direct relationship between individuals and their wealth.
Conclusion: A Time for Vigilance and Informed Action
This article has laid out a broad but fact-based exploration of modern financial risks, focusing on changes in reserve requirements, deposit insurance limitations, the legal architecture for bail-ins, and the emergence of programmable digital currencies.
Each development, in isolation, may seem manageable. But viewed together, they suggest a shift toward a more controlled, more opaque, and potentially less secure financial system for the average person. None of these policies are secret. All are published in legal frameworks and central bank communications. The challenge is connecting the dots before the next disruption exposes them.
The conclusion is not to panic but to prepare. Evaluate your financial exposure. Understand how your wealth is held and what laws govern it. Consider diversifying into tangible assets with no counterparty risk.
As the co-authors of It Starts With Gold, we believe sovereignty begins with awareness. And in a time of accelerating change, that awareness is more valuable than ever.
📘 Learn more in the bestselling book It Starts With Gold™ by Peter J. Merrick and Adrian C. Spitters
🔗 Visit ItStartsWithGold.com
🛒 Order on Amazon: mybook.to/GOLD
✉️ Contact us directly or through Big Idea Speakers to schedule a conversation or event
References
- Federal Reserve – Emergency Monetary Actions (March 15, 2020)
- Federal Reserve – Reserve Requirements Elimination (March 26, 2020)
- FDIC – Official Deposit Insurance Coverage Guide
- CDIC – What’s Insured in Canada
- Wikipedia – Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation Overview
- Reuters – U.S. Bank Deposits and Systemic Risk Update (April 2023)
- ABA Banking Journal – Federal Reserve Payments to Banks (2024)
- Peter St. Onge – Bank Profits and Central Bank Interest Payments
- Financial Times – Banks Withheld $1.1 Trillion in Interest from Savers
- IMF Policy Paper – Bail-in and Crisis Resolution Frameworks
- U.S. Congress – Full Text of the Dodd–Frank Act
- Federal Reserve – Supervision and Regulation Report (2023)
- OSFI – Canada’s Bank Bail-In Regime: Implementation Guide
- CDIC – Canada Deposit Insurance Corporation Overview
- EU Commission – Bank Recovery and Resolution Directive (BRRD)
- BBC News – Cyprus 2013 Bail-In Crisis Summary
- Bank for International Settlements – BIS Report on CBDCs
- Cato Institute – CBDCs and the Threat to Financial Privacy
- IMF Working Paper – CBDC and Personal Financial Data Privacy
- Atlantic Council – Overview of Programmable Digital Currencies
- Globe and Mail – Canada Freezes Protesters’ Bank Accounts (2022)
- World Gold Council – Central Bank Gold Demand Report (2025)
- Amazon – It Starts With Gold by Merrick and Spitters
- Official Book Website – ItStartsWithGold.com
